Which year will David Cameron leave the post of Prime Minister? 2015 is obviously the most likely – If Labour get the most seats at the general election (the betting markets say that’s about a 50% chance) Cameron will probably be leaving Downing Street. A very close result might leave him in place even if the … Read more#CameronMustGo – But when?
NEW #GE2015 FORECAST: Labour back in front with 53% chance of winning most seats — Elections Etc (@ElectionsEtc) December 5, 2014 The new forecast from Stephen Fisher at electionsetc shows Labour’s chances of being the biggest party increase, but the probability of a hung parliament hitting a new high. Similarly at Ladbrokes, the odds of no party getting a majority … Read moreTory and Labour majority chances fading fast
The Liberal Democrat PPC for Ashfield, JasonZadrozny, has been the subject of some interesting market support to succeed Nick Clegg as party leader in recent days. We added him to the betting at 100/1 a couple of weeks back; he’s now 50/1 and we took some more money at that price today. Sure, we’ve only taken … Read moreThe 50/1 unknown who might be the next Liberal Democrat leader
All Roads lead to UKIP? | Geoff Evans & @jon_mellon – @BESResearch — Will Jennings (@drjennings) December 9, 2014 Lots of talk today about which party will be most affected by UKIP in next year’s general election. The Evans & Mellon article above suggests the Tories still have most to worry about, but I thought I’d have a look at … Read moreThe Top 10 Labour seats under threat from UKIP
Nigel Farage AND Russell Brand on Question Time tonight? We had to roll out some betting, so here are our Buzzword Bingo odds. Your bet is a winner if any of the panellists mention the exact words or phrase on the BBC1 broadcast edition. Audience members and Dimbleby do not count. “Trumpton” has been the … Read moreFarage v Brand on Question Time: Place Your Bets