Has Jean Claude Juncker’s nomination pushed the UK nearer to an EU exit? Maybe a little, but even so, it’s still fairly unlikely to happen during this decade. What are the odds? First, we’d almost certainly need a referendum. Ladbrokes make that an odds-against chance before 2018, and if it hasn’t happened by then, it almost certainly … Read moreWhat are the odds of the UK leaving the EU anytime soon? 20% say bookies.
Just over two years ago, Ladbrokes opened a market on which of UKIP and the Liberal Democrats would get most votes at the next general election. We made UKIP 5/1. Today, for the first time, they are now favourites to out-poll the Lib Dems. YouGov’s latest poll has UKIP ahead 14-8. Survation has it … Read moreFor the first time, UKIP now favourite to out-poll Lib Dems.
Most people will scoff at the idea that the Liberal Democrats could win any new seats at next year’s general election. But, according to political punters, they have a few chances. Here are five of the most interesting possibilities: 1. Montgomeryshire. Conservative majority 1,184 In terms of the odds, this was the biggest shock result of the 2010 election, … Read moreFive seats the Lib Dems might GAIN in 2015.
There have been reports that Cameron has been threatening to bring forward the date of his planned In/Out EU referendum if Jean Claude Juncker gets the job of President of the EU Commission. Ladbrokes have pulled the market on Juncker’s chances, as that now looks like a certainty. If anyone thinks these reports are true and this is any … Read moreWill there really be an early EU Referendum if Juncker gets the job?
Ladbrokes have some odds on what Ed Miliband will mention first during Prime Minister’s Questions today. It’s Evens that “Coulson” gets a mention before any of the other options we’ve listed. Cameron will obviously be prepared for the questions relating to Andy Coulson but I guess there’s a chance that Ed will open up on foreign policy … Read moreWhat are the odds that Ed goes for Coulson in PMQs?