Channel 4 are planning a “mockumentary” based on the early days of a UKIP government. So, naturally, we’ve knocked up some odds on who will play Farage. I don’t really have much more to say, but if anyone has any good suggestions for other possibles, post them here and we’ll add the best ones to our … Read moreWhich actor will play Nigel Farage in UKIP Drama?
We’ve cut the odds on the Greens out-polling the Lib Dems in 2015 from 5/1 to 4/1 today. That follows last night YouGov poll which put the Greens ahead. EXCL: Blow for Clegg as Greens push Lib Dems into fifth place in landmark @YouGov poll: http://t.co/jvxWNAWIPT — Sun Politics (@Sun_Politics) October 30, 2014 Pretty staggering considering that at the last … Read moreCould the Greens beat the Lib Dems at the General Election?
Chris Hanretty tells #newsnight: This will be the hardest post-war election to predict — BBC Newsnight (@BBCNewsnight) October 28, 2014 Newsnight ran a good piece yesterday explaining some of the problems with forecasting the next general election, including a very interesting contribution from Chris Hanretty from the UEA. One of the best features of Chris’s model is … Read morePolitical Scientists predict huge SNP gains in 2015
Tomorrow night we’ll find out the winner of the 2014 Barclaycard Mercury Prize for album of the year. As the betting suggests, it’s wide open and I could even give the 33/1 outsiders GoGo Penguin a chance. There are a few punters with some very nice bets running. FKA Twigs were backed in from 33/1 … Read moreMercury Prize betting wide open with one day to go
ComRes poll in Rochester & Strood: UKIP 43% Con 30% Lab 21% Green 3% Lib Dem 3% — Andrew Hawkins, October 22, 2014 A 13% lead for UKIP saw their odds contract from 1/3 yesterday to 1/5 this morning. Not a particularly surprising result, as the Survation poll three weeks ago gave them a 9% … Read moreUKIP odds shorten again following new Rochester poll