Which actor will play Nigel Farage in UKIP Drama?

Channel 4 are planning a “mockumentary” based on the early days of a UKIP government. So, naturally, we’ve knocked up some odds on who will play Farage. I don’t really have much more to say, but if anyone has any good suggestions for other possibles, post them here and we’ll add the best ones to our … Read moreWhich actor will play Nigel Farage in UKIP Drama?

Could the Greens beat the Lib Dems at the General Election?

We’ve cut the odds on the Greens out-polling the Lib Dems in 2015 from 5/1 to 4/1 today. That follows last night YouGov poll which put the Greens ahead. EXCL: Blow for Clegg as Greens push Lib Dems into fifth place in landmark @YouGov poll: http://t.co/jvxWNAWIPT — Sun Politics (@Sun_Politics) October 30, 2014 Pretty staggering considering that at the last … Read moreCould the Greens beat the Lib Dems at the General Election?

Political Scientists predict huge SNP gains in 2015

Chris Hanretty tells #newsnight: This will be the hardest post-war election to predict — BBC Newsnight (@BBCNewsnight) October 28, 2014 Newsnight ran a good piece yesterday explaining some of the problems with forecasting the next general election, including a very interesting contribution from Chris Hanretty from the UEA. One of the best features of Chris’s model is … Read morePolitical Scientists predict huge SNP gains in 2015

UKIP odds shorten again following new Rochester poll

ComRes poll in Rochester & Strood: UKIP 43% Con 30% Lab 21% Green 3% Lib Dem 3%  — Andrew Hawkins, October 22, 2014 A 13% lead for UKIP saw their odds contract from 1/3 yesterday to 1/5 this morning. Not a particularly surprising result, as the Survation poll three weeks ago gave them a 9% … Read moreUKIP odds shorten again following new Rochester poll