Political Science vs Betting Markets – Who’ll win the election?

Prof Stephen Fisher has produced his latest weekly estimates of the next general election outcome. Let’s compare those with the probabilities implied by Ladbrokes’ latest general election betting odds. Most Seats Overall Majority   Pretty close really, which I find re-assuring. When Fisher produced his initial estimates a few months back, they were a long way out from the … Read morePolitical Science vs Betting Markets – Who’ll win the election?