Has Jean Claude Juncker’s nomination pushed the UK nearer to an EU exit? Maybe a little, but even so, it’s still fairly unlikely to happen during this decade. What are the odds? First, we’d almost certainly need a referendum. Ladbrokes make that an odds-against chance before 2018, and if it hasn’t happened by then, it almost certainly … Read moreWhat are the odds of the UK leaving the EU anytime soon? 20% say bookies.
Just over two years ago, Ladbrokes opened a market on which of UKIP and the Liberal Democrats would get most votes at the next general election. We made UKIP 5/1. Today, for the first time, they are now favourites to out-poll the Lib Dems. YouGov’s latest poll has UKIP ahead 14-8. Survation has it … Read moreFor the first time, UKIP now favourite to out-poll Lib Dems.